Alex White vs Lucas Martins

July 15, 2014

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1006
(-36)
Alex White
Winner: Lucas Martins
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 2:08

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alex White-36
Lucas Martins+41
1103
(+41)
Lucas Martins

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alex White: -33Lucas Martins: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex WhiteLucas Martins
Total UFC Fights24
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0241 073
ELO Change-33+33
💡

What Happened

Lucas Martins's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Lucas Martins for the expected result. Had Alex White pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alex White: -21Lucas Martins: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex WhiteLucas Martins
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9981 045
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alex White: -37Lucas Martins: +75

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex WhiteLucas Martins
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish2:082:08
Win Type ELO1 0481 198
ELO Change-37+75
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What Happened

Lucas Martins gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alex White: -91Lucas Martins: +91

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex WhiteLucas Martins
Significant Strikes Landed4253
Significant Strikes Attempted159140
Total Strikes Landed4253
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9881 169
ELO Change-91+91
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What Happened

Lucas Martins controlled the striking exchanges with 53 vs 42 significant strikes, 37.9% vs 26.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Lucas Martins capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alex White: -45Lucas Martins: +45

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex WhiteLucas Martins
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:000:16
Ground Strikes Landed03
Ground ELO9891 134
ELO Change-45+45
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alex White: -17Lucas Martins: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex WhiteLucas Martins
Days Since Last Fight88315
Activity ELO1 0021 101
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

Lucas Martins demonstrated standard activity with 315 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Lucas Martins capitalized on this activity level, while Alex White's 88-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alex White: -20Lucas Martins: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex WhiteLucas Martins
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO1 0011 058
ELO Change-20+26
💡

What Happened

Lucas Martins extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex White is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alex White: -21Lucas Martins: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex WhiteLucas Martins
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9981 045
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.