November 4, 2016
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Heather Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 068 | 935 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Alexa Grasso overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Heather Clark.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Heather Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Heather Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 042 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Alexa Grasso earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Heather Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 65 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 134 | 87 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 120 | 74 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 033 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Alexa Grasso controlled the striking exchanges with 120 vs 74 total strikes, 65 vs 40 significant strikes. Alexa Grasso capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Heather Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:21 | 2:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 069 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Alexa Grasso controlled Heather Clark on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:21 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Heather Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Alexa Grasso demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Alexa Grasso capitalized on this activity level, while Heather Clark's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Heather Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Alexa Grasso started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Heather Clark is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Heather Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.