June 7, 2019
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 082 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -34 |
Alexa Grasso overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Karolina Kowalkiewicz.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 033 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Alexa Grasso earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 148 | 90 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 369 | 232 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 163 | 92 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 064 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Alexa Grasso dominated the striking exchanges with 163 vs 92 total strikes, 148 vs 90 significant strikes. Alexa Grasso capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 0:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 012 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Alexa Grasso did not secure a significant ground advantage against Karolina Kowalkiewicz on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 385 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 034 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -28 |
Alexa Grasso demonstrated extended layoff with 385 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Alexa Grasso capitalized on this activity level, while Karolina Kowalkiewicz's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 032 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Alexa Grasso started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Karolina Kowalkiewicz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.