February 12, 2021
Women's Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 104 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Alexa Grasso's 3-fight experience advantage (8 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alexa Grasso for the expected result. Had Maycee Barber pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 049 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 122 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Alexa Grasso earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 81 | 152 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 95 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 100 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Alexa Grasso controlled the striking exchanges with 95 vs 50 total strikes, 46.9% vs 26.3% accuracy. Alexa Grasso capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:10 | 3:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 061 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Alexa Grasso did not secure a significant ground advantage against Maycee Barber on the ground with 0 takedowns, 5:10 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 169 | 392 |
| Activity ELO | 1 078 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -23 |
Alexa Grasso demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alexa Grasso capitalized on this activity level, while Maycee Barber's 392-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 061 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Alexa Grasso extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Maycee Barber is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 047 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.