May 10, 2025
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Natalia Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 176 | 1 309 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +37 |
Natalia Silva overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alexa Grasso.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Natalia Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 164 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Natalia Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 252 | 1 346 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Natalia Silva earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Natalia Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 65 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 139 | 164 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 74 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 157 | 1 309 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Natalia Silva controlled the striking exchanges with 74 vs 54 total strikes, 65 vs 45 significant strikes. Natalia Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Natalia Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:40 | 0:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 176 | 1 253 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Natalia Silva did not secure a significant ground advantage against Alexa Grasso on the ground with 0:15 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Natalia Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 239 | 246 |
| Activity ELO | 1 159 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Natalia Silva demonstrated standard activity with 246 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Natalia Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Alexa Grasso's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Natalia Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 7 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 151 | 1 246 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +58 |
Natalia Silva continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Alexa Grasso's now at 0.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Natalia Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 078 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.