August 4, 2017
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 068 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -27 |
Alexa Grasso overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Randa Markos.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 017 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Alexa Grasso receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 45 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 157 | 113 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 121 | 71 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 044 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Alexa Grasso dominated the striking exchanges with 121 vs 71 total strikes, 64 vs 45 significant strikes. Alexa Grasso capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:10 | 3:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 020 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Alexa Grasso did not secure a significant ground advantage against Randa Markos on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:10 of control time, 4 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 167 |
| Activity ELO | 1 029 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -23 |
Alexa Grasso demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alexa Grasso capitalized on this activity level, while Randa Markos's 167-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -21 |
Alexa Grasso started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Randa Markos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.