May 18, 2018
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Tatiana Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 036 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Tatiana Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Tatiana Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:44 | 2:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 986 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +54 |
Tatiana Suarez earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:44, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Tatiana Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 028 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Alexa Grasso controlled the striking through superior volume (21 vs 4 total strikes), superior accuracy (75.0% vs 22.2%). However, since Alexa Grasso lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Tatiana Suarez's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Tatiana Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 986 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Tatiana Suarez controlled Alexa Grasso on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:41 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Tatiana Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 287 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 009 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Tatiana Suarez demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tatiana Suarez capitalized on this activity level, while Alexa Grasso's 287-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Tatiana Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 006 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Tatiana Suarez extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alexa Grasso is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexa Grasso | Tatiana Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.