October 15, 2010
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Cyrille Diabate |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 041 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Cyrille Diabate |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Cyrille Diabate |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:41 | 2:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 141 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -51 |
Alexander Gustafsson earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:41, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Cyrille Diabate was submitted.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Cyrille Diabate |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 56 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 60 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 099 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +126 | -126 |
Alexander Gustafsson controlled the striking exchanges with 60 vs 13 total strikes, 28 vs 11 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alexander Gustafsson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Cyrille Diabate |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:05 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 141 | 862 |
| ELO Change | +204 | -204 |
Alexander Gustafsson dominated Cyrille Diabate on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:05 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Cyrille Diabate |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 028 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Alexander Gustafsson demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alexander Gustafsson capitalized on this activity level, while Cyrille Diabate's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Cyrille Diabate |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 027 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Alexander Gustafsson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cyrille Diabate is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Cyrille Diabate |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.