October 2, 2015
UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Daniel Cormier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 192 | 1 323 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +33 |
Daniel Cormier overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alexander Gustafsson.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Daniel Cormier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 101 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +56 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Daniel Cormier captured the UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Daniel Cormier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 429 | 1 411 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Daniel Cormier receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Daniel Cormier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 120 | 140 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 254 | 283 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 130 | 219 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 349 | 1 410 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Daniel Cormier dominated the striking exchanges with 219 vs 130 total strikes, 140 vs 120 significant strikes. Daniel Cormier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Daniel Cormier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:58 | 3:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 324 | 1 573 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Daniel Cormier edged out Alexander Gustafsson on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:30 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Daniel Cormier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 252 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 217 | 1 273 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +43 |
Daniel Cormier demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Daniel Cormier capitalized on this activity level, while Alexander Gustafsson's 252-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Daniel Cormier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 155 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Daniel Cormier extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alexander Gustafsson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Daniel Cormier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 087 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.