Alexander Gustafsson vs James Te Huna

February 25, 2011

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1098
(+33)
Alexander Gustafsson
Winner: Alexander Gustafsson
Submission
Round 1 • 4:27

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alexander Gustafsson+33
James Te Huna-26
1016
(-26)
James Te Huna

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Gustafsson: +33James Te Huna: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander GustafssonJames Te Huna
Total UFC Fights42
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 0741 028
ELO Change+33-33
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What Happened

Alexander Gustafsson's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alexander Gustafsson for the expected result. Had James Te Huna pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Gustafsson: +21James Te Huna: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander GustafssonJames Te Huna
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 043999
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Gustafsson: +57James Te Huna: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander GustafssonJames Te Huna
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:274:27
Win Type ELO1 1981 044
ELO Change+57-34
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What Happened

Alexander Gustafsson earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:27, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Gustafsson: +18James Te Huna: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander GustafssonJames Te Huna
Significant Strikes Landed46
Significant Strikes Attempted96
Total Strikes Landed1734
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1171 036
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

James Te Huna controlled the striking through superior volume (34 vs 17 total strikes), superior accuracy (100.0% vs 44.4%). However, since James Te Huna lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Alexander Gustafsson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Gustafsson: +43James Te Huna: -43

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander GustafssonJames Te Huna
Takedowns Landed11
Takedowns Attempted24
Ground Control Time0:572:55
Ground Strikes Landed46
Ground ELO1 1841 020
ELO Change+43-43
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What Happened

Alexander Gustafsson controlled James Te Huna on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:57 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Gustafsson: +41James Te Huna: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander GustafssonJames Te Huna
Days Since Last Fight134371
Activity ELO1 069999
ELO Change+41-21
💡

What Happened

Alexander Gustafsson demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alexander Gustafsson capitalized on this activity level, while James Te Huna's 371-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Gustafsson: +25James Te Huna: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander GustafssonJames Te Huna
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 0521 001
ELO Change+25-21
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What Happened

Alexander Gustafsson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. James Te Huna is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Gustafsson: +21James Te Huna: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander GustafssonJames Te Huna
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 043999
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.