Alexander Gustafsson vs Jan Blachowicz

September 2, 2016

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1248
(+16)
Alexander Gustafsson
Winner: Alexander Gustafsson
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alexander Gustafsson+16
Jan Blachowicz-16
1016
(-16)
Jan Blachowicz

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Gustafsson: +20Jan Blachowicz: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander GustafssonJan Blachowicz
Total UFC Fights135
Experience Gap8-8
Experience ELO1 2121 036
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

Alexander Gustafsson's 8-fight experience advantage (13 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alexander Gustafsson for the expected result. Had Jan Blachowicz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Gustafsson: +15Jan Blachowicz: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander GustafssonJan Blachowicz
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 116987
ELO Change+15-15
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Gustafsson: +11Jan Blachowicz: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander GustafssonJan Blachowicz
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 4401 085
ELO Change+11-11
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What Happened

Alexander Gustafsson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Gustafsson: +14Jan Blachowicz: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander GustafssonJan Blachowicz
Significant Strikes Landed5028
Significant Strikes Attempted10090
Total Strikes Landed13955
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 3631 053
ELO Change+14-14
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What Happened

Alexander Gustafsson dominated the striking exchanges with 139 vs 55 total strikes, 50 vs 28 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 31.1% accuracy. Alexander Gustafsson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Gustafsson: +31Jan Blachowicz: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander GustafssonJan Blachowicz
Takedowns Landed40
Takedowns Attempted51
Ground Control Time10:430:00
Ground Strikes Landed331
Ground ELO1 355982
ELO Change+31-31
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What Happened

Alexander Gustafsson dominated Jan Blachowicz on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 10:43 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Gustafsson: +10Jan Blachowicz: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander GustafssonJan Blachowicz
Days Since Last Fight336146
Activity ELO1 2271 006
ELO Change+10-10
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What Happened

Alexander Gustafsson demonstrated standard activity with 336 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Alexander Gustafsson capitalized on this activity level, while Jan Blachowicz's 146-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Gustafsson: +14Jan Blachowicz: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander GustafssonJan Blachowicz
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 169995
ELO Change+14-13
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What Happened

Alexander Gustafsson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jan Blachowicz is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Gustafsson: +16Jan Blachowicz: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander GustafssonJan Blachowicz
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 103985
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.