August 5, 2011
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 138 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -42 |
Alexander Gustafsson overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Matt Hamill.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 069 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:34 | 3:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 310 | 1 251 |
| ELO Change | +112 | -55 |
Alexander Gustafsson gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 98 | 34 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 271 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +154 | -154 |
Alexander Gustafsson controlled the striking exchanges with 41 vs 13 total strikes, 37 vs 13 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alexander Gustafsson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:22 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 257 | 1 244 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Alexander Gustafsson landed 1 knockdown followed by 13 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 123 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -31 |
Alexander Gustafsson demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alexander Gustafsson capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Hamill's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 088 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -27 |
Alexander Gustafsson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Hamill is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 068 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.