December 7, 2012
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 249 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -31 |
Alexander Gustafsson overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mauricio Rua.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 133 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 473 | 1 392 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Alexander Gustafsson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 72 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 156 | 95 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 128 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 446 | 1 347 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Alexander Gustafsson dominated the striking exchanges with 128 vs 51 total strikes, 72 vs 41 significant strikes. Alexander Gustafsson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:52 | 1:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 406 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Alexander Gustafsson dominated Mauricio Rua on the ground with 6 vs 1 takedowns, 3:52 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 239 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 245 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Alexander Gustafsson demonstrated standard activity with 239 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alexander Gustafsson capitalized on this activity level, while Mauricio Rua's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 197 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -18 |
Alexander Gustafsson continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Mauricio Rua's now at 0.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 127 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.