July 22, 2022
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 132 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +43 |
Nikita Krylov overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (16 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alexander Gustafsson.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 067 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:07 | 1:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 386 | 1 448 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +137 |
Nikita Krylov earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:07, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 199 | 1 492 |
| ELO Change | -238 | +238 |
Nikita Krylov dominated the striking exchanges with 26 vs 5 total strikes, 26 vs 5 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Nikita Krylov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 176 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Nikita Krylov landed 2 knockdowns followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 728 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 191 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +50 |
Nikita Krylov demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nikita Krylov capitalized on this activity level, while Alexander Gustafsson's 728-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 120 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +28 |
Nikita Krylov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alexander Gustafsson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 046 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.