April 9, 2010
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Phil Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 003 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Phil Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Phil Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:55 | 4:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 062 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +82 |
Phil Davis earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:55, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Phil Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 973 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | -111 | +111 |
Phil Davis edged the striking exchanges with 28 vs 0 total strikes, 14 vs 0 significant strikes, 77.8% vs 0.0% accuracy. Phil Davis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Phil Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:25 | 3:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 937 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | -116 | +116 |
Phil Davis dominated Alexander Gustafsson on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:41 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Phil Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 1 000 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +62 |
Phil Davis demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Phil Davis capitalized on this activity level, while Alexander Gustafsson's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Phil Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Phil Davis extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alexander Gustafsson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Phil Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.