April 13, 2012
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 214 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -27 |
Alexander Gustafsson overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Thiago Silva.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 111 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 431 | 1 264 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Alexander Gustafsson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 76 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 283 | 108 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 78 | 38 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 407 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Alexander Gustafsson controlled the striking exchanges with 78 vs 38 total strikes, 76 vs 38 significant strikes, 26.9% vs 35.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alexander Gustafsson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:39 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 337 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Alexander Gustafsson landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 469 |
| Activity ELO | 1 221 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -20 |
Alexander Gustafsson demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alexander Gustafsson capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Silva's 469-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 155 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -19 |
Alexander Gustafsson continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Thiago Silva's now at 0.
| Metric | Alexander Gustafsson | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 109 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.