December 9, 2022
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Billy Quarantillo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 122 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +47 |
Billy Quarantillo overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alexander Hernandez.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Billy Quarantillo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 017 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Billy Quarantillo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:30 | 4:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 196 | 1 294 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +98 |
Billy Quarantillo gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Billy Quarantillo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 87 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 94 | 151 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 127 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 155 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +69 |
Billy Quarantillo dominated the striking exchanges with 127 vs 59 total strikes, 87 vs 48 significant strikes. Billy Quarantillo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Billy Quarantillo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:08 | 1:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 1 059 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Billy Quarantillo edged out Alexander Hernandez on the ground with 2 takedowns, 1:20 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Billy Quarantillo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 301 | 399 |
| Activity ELO | 1 094 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +21 |
Billy Quarantillo demonstrated extended layoff with 399 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Billy Quarantillo capitalized on this activity level, while Alexander Hernandez's 301-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Billy Quarantillo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 041 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Billy Quarantillo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alexander Hernandez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Billy Quarantillo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 017 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.