October 30, 2020
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Chris Gruetzemacher |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 219 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Chris Gruetzemacher |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 063 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Chris Gruetzemacher |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:46 | 1:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 318 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -26 |
Alexander Hernandez earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:46, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Chris Gruetzemacher |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 52 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 238 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -86 |
Alexander Hernandez controlled the striking exchanges with 29 vs 8 total strikes, 29 vs 8 significant strikes, 55.8% vs 29.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alexander Hernandez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Chris Gruetzemacher |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 199 | 916 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -7 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Chris Gruetzemacher |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 172 | 939 |
| Activity ELO | 1 145 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -18 |
Alexander Hernandez demonstrated solid activity levels with 172 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alexander Hernandez capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Gruetzemacher's 939-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Chris Gruetzemacher |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 087 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -18 |
Alexander Hernandez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Gruetzemacher is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Chris Gruetzemacher |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 063 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

