Alexander Hernandez vs Francisco Trinaldo

July 19, 2019

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1162
(+39)
Alexander Hernandez
Winner: Alexander Hernandez
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alexander Hernandez+39
Francisco Trinaldo-33
1209
(-33)
Francisco Trinaldo

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Hernandez: +73Francisco Trinaldo: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander HernandezFrancisco Trinaldo
Total UFC Fights419
Experience Gap-1515
Experience ELO1 2421 189
ELO Change+73-37
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What Happened

Alexander Hernandez overcame a 15-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Francisco Trinaldo.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Hernandez: +27Francisco Trinaldo: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander HernandezFrancisco Trinaldo
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0651 113
ELO Change+27-27
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Hernandez: +57Francisco Trinaldo: -57

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander HernandezFrancisco Trinaldo
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2911 308
ELO Change+57-57
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What Happened

Alexander Hernandez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Hernandez: +26Francisco Trinaldo: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander HernandezFrancisco Trinaldo
Significant Strikes Landed2525
Significant Strikes Attempted9152
Total Strikes Landed2628
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1941 231
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo controlled the striking through superior accuracy (48.1% vs 27.5%). However, since Francisco Trinaldo lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Alexander Hernandez's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Hernandez: +25Francisco Trinaldo: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander HernandezFrancisco Trinaldo
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:200:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2161 227
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Hernandez: +42Francisco Trinaldo: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander HernandezFrancisco Trinaldo
Days Since Last Fight182301
Activity ELO1 1331 301
ELO Change+42-34
💡

What Happened

Alexander Hernandez demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alexander Hernandez capitalized on this activity level, while Francisco Trinaldo's 301-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Hernandez: +33Francisco Trinaldo: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander HernandezFrancisco Trinaldo
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0881 190
ELO Change+33-30
💡

What Happened

Alexander Hernandez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francisco Trinaldo is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Hernandez: +27Francisco Trinaldo: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander HernandezFrancisco Trinaldo
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0651 113
ELO Change+27-27
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.