February 17, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 41 |
| Experience Gap | -30 | 30 |
| Experience ELO | 1 226 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +104 | -35 |
Alexander Hernandez overcame a 30-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 41 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jim Miller.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 257 | 1 303 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Alexander Hernandez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 108 | 67 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 234 | 185 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 111 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 196 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Alexander Hernandez controlled the striking exchanges with 111 vs 68 total strikes, 108 vs 67 significant strikes, 46.2% vs 36.2% accuracy. Alexander Hernandez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:23 | 0:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 141 | 1 200 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
Alexander Hernandez controlled Jim Miller on the ground with 0:23 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | 232 |
| Activity ELO | 1 196 | 1 307 |
| ELO Change | +102 | -34 |
Alexander Hernandez demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Alexander Hernandez capitalized on this activity level, while Jim Miller's 232-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 072 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -28 |
Alexander Hernandez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jim Miller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.