July 27, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 194 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -37 |
Alexander Hernandez overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Olivier Aubin-Mercier.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 052 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 251 | 1 280 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Alexander Hernandez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 81 | 32 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 86 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 221 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Alexander Hernandez controlled the striking exchanges with 86 vs 37 total strikes, 39 vs 19 significant strikes, 48.1% vs 59.4% accuracy. Alexander Hernandez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:11 | 3:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 227 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | +140 | -140 |
Alexander Hernandez dominated Olivier Aubin-Mercier on the ground with 4 vs 2 takedowns, 7:11 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 095 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -29 |
Alexander Hernandez demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alexander Hernandez capitalized on this activity level, while Olivier Aubin-Mercier's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 065 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -27 |
Alexander Hernandez extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Olivier Aubin-Mercier is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Hernandez | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 052 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.