July 14, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Munoz | Carl Deaton |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 984 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alexander Munoz | Carl Deaton |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Munoz | Carl Deaton |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 012 | 935 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Alexander Munoz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alexander Munoz | Carl Deaton |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 111 | 108 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 013 | 907 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Alexander Munoz controlled the striking exchanges with 44 vs 37 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alexander Munoz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Munoz | Carl Deaton |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:54 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 041 | 871 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Alexander Munoz controlled Carl Deaton on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:54 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Munoz | Carl Deaton |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 819 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 988 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -22 |
Alexander Munoz demonstrated extended layoff with 819 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Alexander Munoz capitalized on this activity level, while Carl Deaton's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Munoz | Carl Deaton |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 987 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Alexander Munoz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carl Deaton is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Munoz | Carl Deaton |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.