Alexander Munoz vs Luis Pena

April 16, 2021

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

961
(-16)
Alexander Munoz
Winner: Luis Pena
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alexander Munoz-16
Luis Pena+16
1086
(+16)
Luis Pena

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Munoz: -24Luis Pena: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander MunozLuis Pena
Total UFC Fights28
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO9491 083
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Luis Pena's 6-fight experience advantage (8 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Luis Pena for the expected result. Had Alexander Munoz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Munoz: -19Luis Pena: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander MunozLuis Pena
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9611 039
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Munoz: -5Luis Pena: +5

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander MunozLuis Pena
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9691 170
ELO Change-5+5
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Luis Pena receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Munoz: -16Luis Pena: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander MunozLuis Pena
Significant Strikes Landed8090
Significant Strikes Attempted169195
Total Strikes Landed8290
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9511 104
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

Luis Pena edged the striking exchanges with 90 vs 80 significant strikes. Luis Pena capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Munoz: -15Luis Pena: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander MunozLuis Pena
Takedowns Landed40
Takedowns Attempted90
Ground Control Time2:210:03
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9661 096
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

Luis Pena did not secure a significant ground advantage against Alexander Munoz on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Munoz: -14Luis Pena: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander MunozLuis Pena
Days Since Last Fight252294
Activity ELO9681 109
ELO Change-14+14
💡

What Happened

Luis Pena demonstrated standard activity with 294 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Luis Pena capitalized on this activity level, while Alexander Munoz's 252-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Munoz: -18Luis Pena: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander MunozLuis Pena
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9631 051
ELO Change-18+20
💡

What Happened

Luis Pena started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alexander Munoz is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Munoz: -19Luis Pena: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander MunozLuis Pena
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9611 039
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.