August 7, 2020
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Munoz | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Nasrat Haqparast's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nasrat Haqparast for the expected result. Had Alexander Munoz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alexander Munoz | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Munoz | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 974 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Nasrat Haqparast earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alexander Munoz | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 104 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 144 | 215 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 108 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 967 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Nasrat Haqparast dominated the striking exchanges with 108 vs 40 total strikes, 104 vs 37 significant strikes, 48.4% vs 25.7% accuracy. Nasrat Haqparast capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Munoz | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:54 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 981 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Nasrat Haqparast did not secure a significant ground advantage against Alexander Munoz on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alexander Munoz | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 982 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Nasrat Haqparast demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nasrat Haqparast capitalized on this activity level, while Alexander Munoz's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Munoz | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Nasrat Haqparast started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alexander Munoz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Munoz | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

