September 24, 2021
UFC Featherweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Brian Ortega |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 481 | 1 337 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -15 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Brian Ortega |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 373 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -11 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Alexander Volkanovski captured the UFC Featherweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Brian Ortega |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 588 | 1 514 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Alexander Volkanovski earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Brian Ortega |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 214 | 88 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 353 | 234 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 229 | 101 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 640 | 1 495 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Alexander Volkanovski dominated the striking exchanges with 229 vs 101 total strikes, 214 vs 88 significant strikes, 60.6% vs 37.6% accuracy. Alexander Volkanovski capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Brian Ortega |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:51 | 0:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 53 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 564 | 1 389 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Alexander Volkanovski controlled Brian Ortega on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:51 of control time, 53 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Brian Ortega |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 441 | 343 |
| Activity ELO | 1 376 | 1 272 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -17 |
Alexander Volkanovski demonstrated extended layoff with 441 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Alexander Volkanovski capitalized on this activity level, while Brian Ortega's 343-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Brian Ortega |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 10 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 548 | 1 238 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -8 |
Alexander Volkanovski extended his incredible 10-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Brian Ortega is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Brian Ortega |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 216 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.