December 28, 2018
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Chad Mendes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 273 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -32 |
Alexander Volkanovski overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chad Mendes.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Chad Mendes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 127 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Chad Mendes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:14 | 4:14 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 412 | 1 399 |
| ELO Change | +126 | -61 |
Alexander Volkanovski gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Chad Mendes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 54 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 124 | 51 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 503 | 1 322 |
| ELO Change | +119 | -119 |
Alexander Volkanovski controlled the striking exchanges with 54 vs 28 total strikes, 54 vs 28 significant strikes, 43.5% vs 54.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alexander Volkanovski capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Chad Mendes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 0:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 427 | 1 385 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Alexander Volkanovski landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Chad Mendes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 169 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 236 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -24 |
Alexander Volkanovski demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alexander Volkanovski capitalized on this activity level, while Chad Mendes's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Chad Mendes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 207 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -21 |
Alexander Volkanovski continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Chad Mendes's now at 0.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Chad Mendes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 126 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.