April 12, 2025
UFC Featherweight Title Bout
Title Fight
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Diego Lopes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 461 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Alexander Volkanovski's 10-fight experience advantage (17 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alexander Volkanovski for the expected result. Had Diego Lopes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Diego Lopes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 407 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -7 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Alexander Volkanovski captured the UFC Featherweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Diego Lopes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 627 | 1 421 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Alexander Volkanovski earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Diego Lopes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 158 | 63 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 259 | 194 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 165 | 71 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 482 | 1 382 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Alexander Volkanovski dominated the striking exchanges with 165 vs 71 total strikes, 158 vs 63 significant strikes, 61.0% vs 32.5% accuracy. Alexander Volkanovski capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Diego Lopes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:18 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 540 | 1 296 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Alexander Volkanovski controlled Diego Lopes on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:18 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Diego Lopes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 421 | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 1 438 | 1 295 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -14 |
Alexander Volkanovski demonstrated extended layoff with 421 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Alexander Volkanovski capitalized on this activity level, while Diego Lopes's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Diego Lopes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 621 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | +3 | -3 |
Alexander Volkanovski started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Diego Lopes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Diego Lopes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 213 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.