February 16, 2024
UFC Featherweight Title Bout
Title Fight
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Ilia Topuria |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 444 | 1 354 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +78 |
Ilia Topuria overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alexander Volkanovski.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Ilia Topuria |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 386 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +106 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Ilia Topuria captured the UFC Featherweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Ilia Topuria |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:32 | 3:32 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 603 | 1 560 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +139 |
Ilia Topuria gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Ilia Topuria |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 107 | 77 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 36 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 438 | 1 526 |
| ELO Change | -117 | +117 |
Alexander Volkanovski controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (47 vs 35). However, since Alexander Volkanovski lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ilia Topuria's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Ilia Topuria |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 509 | 1 451 |
| ELO Change | -82 | +82 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Ilia Topuria |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 239 |
| Activity ELO | 1 425 | 1 273 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +41 |
Ilia Topuria demonstrated standard activity with 239 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ilia Topuria capitalized on this activity level, while Alexander Volkanovski's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Ilia Topuria |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 7 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 618 | 1 324 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +113 |
Ilia Topuria continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Alexander Volkanovski's now at 0.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Ilia Topuria |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 197 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.