June 9, 2017
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Mizuto Hirota |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 094 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -28 |
Alexander Volkanovski overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mizuto Hirota.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Mizuto Hirota |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Mizuto Hirota |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 112 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Alexander Volkanovski earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Mizuto Hirota |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 87 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 139 | 149 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 93 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 159 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Alexander Volkanovski controlled the striking exchanges with 93 vs 51 total strikes, 87 vs 46 significant strikes, 62.6% vs 30.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alexander Volkanovski capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Mizuto Hirota |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:18 | 0:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 23 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 155 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
Alexander Volkanovski dominated Mizuto Hirota on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 5:18 of control time, 23 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Mizuto Hirota |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 044 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Alexander Volkanovski demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alexander Volkanovski capitalized on this activity level, while Mizuto Hirota's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Mizuto Hirota |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Alexander Volkanovski extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mizuto Hirota is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Mizuto Hirota |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.