November 25, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Yusuke Kasuya |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 060 | 914 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Yusuke Kasuya |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Yusuke Kasuya |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:06 | 2:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 077 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -38 |
Alexander Volkanovski gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Yusuke Kasuya |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 76 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 108 | 871 |
| ELO Change | +108 | -108 |
Alexander Volkanovski controlled the striking exchanges with 55 vs 7 total strikes, 50 vs 4 significant strikes, 65.8% vs 40.0% accuracy. Alexander Volkanovski capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Yusuke Kasuya |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:21 | 1:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 45 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 073 | 908 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Alexander Volkanovski controlled Yusuke Kasuya on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 4:21 of control time, 45 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Yusuke Kasuya |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 428 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Alexander Volkanovski demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Alexander Volkanovski capitalized on this activity level, while Yusuke Kasuya's 428-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Yusuke Kasuya |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Alexander Volkanovski started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yusuke Kasuya is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Volkanovski | Yusuke Kasuya |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.