March 10, 2023
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Alexandr Romanov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 316 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Alexander Volkov's 7-fight experience advantage (14 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alexander Volkov for the expected result. Had Alexandr Romanov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Alexandr Romanov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 133 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Alexandr Romanov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:16 | 2:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 605 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -10 |
Alexander Volkov earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:16, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Alexandr Romanov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 550 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Alexander Volkov edged the striking exchanges with 27 vs 0 total strikes, 12 vs 0 significant strikes, 80.0% vs 0.0% accuracy. Alexander Volkov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Alexandr Romanov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:03 | 0:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 223 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -80 |
Alexander Volkov controlled Alexandr Romanov on the ground with 1:03 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Alexandr Romanov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 281 | 204 |
| Activity ELO | 1 354 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Alexander Volkov demonstrated standard activity with 281 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Alexander Volkov capitalized on this activity level, while Alexandr Romanov's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Alexandr Romanov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 180 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -18 |
Alexander Volkov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alexandr Romanov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Alexandr Romanov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 131 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.