December 7, 2024
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Ciryl Gane |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 336 | 1 406 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +42 |
Ciryl Gane overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alexander Volkov.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Ciryl Gane |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 147 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Ciryl Gane |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 677 | 1 674 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Ciryl Gane receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Ciryl Gane |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 71 | 61 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 105 | 48 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 580 | 1 685 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Alexander Volkov controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (105 vs 48 total strikes), superior accuracy (54.9% vs 70.5%). However, since Alexander Volkov lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ciryl Gane's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Ciryl Gane |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:32 | 3:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 265 | 1 387 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Ciryl Gane edged out Alexander Volkov on the ground with 2 takedowns, 3:40 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Ciryl Gane |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 169 | 463 |
| Activity ELO | 1 371 | 1 468 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +15 |
Ciryl Gane demonstrated extended layoff with 463 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Ciryl Gane capitalized on this activity level, while Alexander Volkov's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Ciryl Gane |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 215 | 1 308 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +21 |
Ciryl Gane extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alexander Volkov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Ciryl Gane |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 145 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.