Alexander Volkov vs Derrick Lewis

October 5, 2018

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1192
(-26)
Alexander Volkov
Winner: Derrick Lewis
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 4:49

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alexander Volkov-26
Derrick Lewis+33
1321
(+33)
Derrick Lewis

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: -33Derrick Lewis: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovDerrick Lewis
Total UFC Fights515
Experience Gap-1010
Experience ELO1 2421 286
ELO Change-33+33
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What Happened

Derrick Lewis's 10-fight experience advantage (15 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Derrick Lewis for the expected result. Had Alexander Volkov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: -18Derrick Lewis: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovDerrick Lewis
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0781 162
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: -26Derrick Lewis: +53

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovDerrick Lewis
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish4:494:49
Win Type ELO1 3551 570
ELO Change-26+53
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What Happened

Derrick Lewis gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: -71Derrick Lewis: +71

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovDerrick Lewis
Significant Strikes Landed12139
Significant Strikes Attempted17170
Total Strikes Landed13340
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 3241 522
ELO Change-71+71
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What Happened

Alexander Volkov controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (133 vs 40 total strikes), significant strike advantage (121 vs 39), superior accuracy (70.8% vs 55.7%). However, since Alexander Volkov lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Derrick Lewis's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: -19Derrick Lewis: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovDerrick Lewis
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted22
Ground Control Time1:460:43
Ground Strikes Landed1317
Ground ELO1 1761 264
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

Derrick Lewis did not secure a significant ground advantage against Alexander Volkov on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:43 of control time, 17 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: -12Derrick Lewis: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovDerrick Lewis
Days Since Last Fight20391
Activity ELO1 1721 373
ELO Change-12+30
💡

What Happened

Derrick Lewis demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Derrick Lewis capitalized on this activity level, while Alexander Volkov's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: -16Derrick Lewis: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovDerrick Lewis
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO1 1101 231
ELO Change-16+21
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What Happened

Derrick Lewis extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alexander Volkov is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: -18Derrick Lewis: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovDerrick Lewis
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0751 160
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.