March 16, 2018
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 275 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -37 |
Alexander Volkov overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Fabricio Werdum.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 096 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 4 | 4 |
| Time of Finish | 1:38 | 1:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 381 | 1 531 |
| ELO Change | +151 | -75 |
Alexander Volkov gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 4, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 88 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 96 | 83 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 395 | 1 350 |
| ELO Change | +135 | -135 |
Alexander Volkov controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alexander Volkov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:46 | 6:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 25 |
| Ground ELO | 1 195 | 1 345 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Alexander Volkov landed 1 knockdown followed by 13 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 184 | 1 296 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -31 |
Alexander Volkov demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alexander Volkov capitalized on this activity level, while Fabricio Werdum's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 126 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -29 |
Alexander Volkov extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Fabricio Werdum is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 093 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.