June 3, 2022
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 300 | 1 227 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Alexander Volkov's 3-fight experience advantage (13 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alexander Volkov for the expected result. Had Jairzinho Rozenstruik pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 115 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:12 | 2:12 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 582 | 1 453 |
| ELO Change | +98 | -44 |
Alexander Volkov earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:12, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 37 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 509 | 1 325 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
Alexander Volkov controlled the striking exchanges with 21 vs 6 significant strikes, 56.8% vs 33.3% accuracy. Alexander Volkov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 143 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 252 |
| Activity ELO | 1 342 | 1 281 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -23 |
Alexander Volkov demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Alexander Volkov capitalized on this activity level, while Jairzinho Rozenstruik's 252-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 159 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Alexander Volkov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jairzinho Rozenstruik is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 112 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

