April 14, 2017
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -17 | 17 |
| Experience ELO | 1 143 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -32 |
Alexander Volkov overcame a 17-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Roy Nelson.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 086 | 1 276 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Alexander Volkov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 122 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 182 | 67 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 125 | 40 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 105 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -72 |
Alexander Volkov dominated the striking exchanges with 125 vs 40 total strikes, 122 vs 32 significant strikes, 67.0% vs 47.8% accuracy. Alexander Volkov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:23 | 4:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 055 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Alexander Volkov did not secure a significant ground advantage against Roy Nelson on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:23 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 084 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -30 |
Alexander Volkov demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alexander Volkov capitalized on this activity level, while Roy Nelson's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 052 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -23 |
Alexander Volkov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roy Nelson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.