Alexander Volkov vs Sergei Pavlovich

June 21, 2024

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1364
(+25)
Alexander Volkov
Winner: Alexander Volkov
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alexander Volkov+25
Sergei Pavlovich-24
1270
(-24)
Sergei Pavlovich

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: +29Sergei Pavlovich: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovSergei Pavlovich
Total UFC Fights169
Experience Gap7-7
Experience ELO1 3681 286
ELO Change+29-29
💡

What Happened

Alexander Volkov's 7-fight experience advantage (16 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alexander Volkov for the expected result. Had Sergei Pavlovich pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: +18Sergei Pavlovich: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovSergei Pavlovich
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1681 086
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: +43Sergei Pavlovich: -43

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovSergei Pavlovich
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 6881 613
ELO Change+43-43
💡

What Happened

Alexander Volkov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: +25Sergei Pavlovich: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovSergei Pavlovich
Significant Strikes Landed8346
Significant Strikes Attempted159134
Total Strikes Landed8346
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 5981 429
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Alexander Volkov controlled the striking exchanges with 83 vs 46 total strikes, 83 vs 46 significant strikes, 52.2% vs 34.3% accuracy. Alexander Volkov capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: +20Sergei Pavlovich: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovSergei Pavlovich
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:000:15
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2991 249
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: +14Sergei Pavlovich: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovSergei Pavlovich
Days Since Last Fight287224
Activity ELO1 3881 239
ELO Change+14-14
💡

What Happened

Alexander Volkov demonstrated standard activity with 287 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Alexander Volkov capitalized on this activity level, while Sergei Pavlovich's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: +29Sergei Pavlovich: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovSergei Pavlovich
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 2331 175
ELO Change+29-21
💡

What Happened

Alexander Volkov extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sergei Pavlovich is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: +18Sergei Pavlovich: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovSergei Pavlovich
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1661 086
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.