September 8, 2023
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 339 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (15 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 150 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:37 | 4:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 645 | 1 437 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -26 |
Alexander Volkov earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:37, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Tai Tuivasa was submitted.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 93 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 143 | 67 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 107 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 573 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Alexander Volkov dominated the striking exchanges with 107 vs 30 total strikes, 93 vs 28 significant strikes, 65.0% vs 41.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alexander Volkov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:35 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 18 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 279 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Alexander Volkov dominated Tai Tuivasa on the ground with 2:35 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 280 |
| Activity ELO | 1 374 | 1 253 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -16 |
Alexander Volkov demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alexander Volkov capitalized on this activity level, while Tai Tuivasa's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 204 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Alexander Volkov extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tai Tuivasa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Volkov | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 148 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

