Alexander Volkov vs Tom Aspinall

March 18, 2022

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1238
(-54)
Alexander Volkov
Winner: Tom Aspinall
Submission
Round 1 • 3:45

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alexander Volkov-54
Tom Aspinall+65
1261
(+65)
Tom Aspinall

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: -38Tom Aspinall: +56

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovTom Aspinall
Total UFC Fights125
Experience Gap7-7
Experience ELO1 2701 287
ELO Change-38+56
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What Happened

Tom Aspinall overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alexander Volkov.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: -23Tom Aspinall: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovTom Aspinall
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0951 108
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: -64Tom Aspinall: +106

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovTom Aspinall
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:453:45
Win Type ELO1 4841 451
ELO Change-64+106
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What Happened

Tom Aspinall earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:45, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: -65Tom Aspinall: +65

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovTom Aspinall
Significant Strikes Landed1329
Significant Strikes Attempted2343
Total Strikes Landed1335
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 4271 399
ELO Change-65+65
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What Happened

Tom Aspinall controlled the striking exchanges with 35 vs 13 total strikes, 29 vs 13 significant strikes, 67.4% vs 56.5% accuracy. Tom Aspinall capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: -169Tom Aspinall: +169

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovTom Aspinall
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:001:54
Ground Strikes Landed012
Ground ELO1 1221 380
ELO Change-169+169
💡

What Happened

Tom Aspinall dominated Alexander Volkov on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:54 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: -29Tom Aspinall: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovTom Aspinall
Days Since Last Fight141197
Activity ELO1 2741 203
ELO Change-29+36
💡

What Happened

Tom Aspinall demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tom Aspinall capitalized on this activity level, while Alexander Volkov's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: -24Tom Aspinall: +46

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovTom Aspinall
Win Streak05
Win Streak ELO1 1371 155
ELO Change-24+46
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What Happened

Tom Aspinall continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Alexander Volkov's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alexander Volkov: -23Tom Aspinall: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexander VolkovTom Aspinall
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0921 107
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.