October 23, 2020
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Yakovlev | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 991 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +38 |
Joel Alvarez overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alexander Yakovlev.
| Metric | Alexander Yakovlev | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 963 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Yakovlev | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:00 | 3:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 036 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +56 |
Joel Alvarez earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:00, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Alexander Yakovlev | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 986 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Alexander Yakovlev controlled the striking through superior accuracy (100.0% vs 66.7%). However, since Alexander Yakovlev lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Joel Alvarez's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Yakovlev | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:57 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 013 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Joel Alvarez controlled Alexander Yakovlev on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alexander Yakovlev | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 350 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 987 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +45 |
Joel Alvarez demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joel Alvarez capitalized on this activity level, while Alexander Yakovlev's 350-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Yakovlev | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Joel Alvarez extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alexander Yakovlev is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Yakovlev | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 963 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.