November 18, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexander Yakovlev | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 020 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alexander Yakovlev | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexander Yakovlev | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:02 | 4:02 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 063 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +56 |
Zak Cummings earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:02, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Alexander Yakovlev was submitted.
| Metric | Alexander Yakovlev | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 41 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 38 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 020 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Zak Cummings edged the striking exchanges with 38 vs 18 total strikes, 24 vs 18 significant strikes, 30.0% vs 43.9% accuracy. Zak Cummings capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexander Yakovlev | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 1:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 023 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Zak Cummings edged out Alexander Yakovlev on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:10 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alexander Yakovlev | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 1 006 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +49 |
Zak Cummings demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Zak Cummings capitalized on this activity level, while Alexander Yakovlev's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexander Yakovlev | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 994 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Zak Cummings started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alexander Yakovlev is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexander Yakovlev | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

