October 8, 2021
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Jared Vanderaa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 125 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Jared Vanderaa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 081 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Jared Vanderaa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:43 | 4:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 223 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -24 |
Alexandr Romanov gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Jared Vanderaa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 56 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 78 | 23 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 78 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 179 | 901 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Alexandr Romanov dominated the striking exchanges with 78 vs 19 total strikes, 56 vs 13 significant strikes, 71.8% vs 56.5% accuracy. Alexandr Romanov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Jared Vanderaa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:31 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 45 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 352 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Alexandr Romanov dominated Jared Vanderaa on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 6:31 of control time, 45 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Jared Vanderaa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 195 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -13 |
Alexandr Romanov demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alexandr Romanov capitalized on this activity level, while Jared Vanderaa's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Jared Vanderaa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 100 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -17 |
Alexandr Romanov extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jared Vanderaa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Jared Vanderaa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 081 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

