April 16, 2021
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Juan Espino |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 102 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -19 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Juan Espino |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Juan Espino |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:05 | 1:05 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 173 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Alexandr Romanov receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Juan Espino |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 53 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 131 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Alexandr Romanov controlled the striking exchanges with 32 vs 12 significant strikes. Alexandr Romanov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Juan Espino |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:41 | 2:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 18 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 330 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -74 |
Alexandr Romanov controlled Juan Espino on the ground with 2 takedowns, 5:41 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Juan Espino |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 172 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -15 |
Alexandr Romanov demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alexandr Romanov capitalized on this activity level, while Juan Espino's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Juan Espino |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 077 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Alexandr Romanov extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Juan Espino is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Juan Espino |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 064 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.