November 6, 2020
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 073 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -32 |
Alexandr Romanov overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marcos Rogerio de Lima.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:48 | 4:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 164 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | +99 | -60 |
Alexandr Romanov earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:48, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 090 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima controlled the striking through superior volume (27 vs 10 total strikes), significant strike advantage (18 vs 6), superior accuracy (62.1% vs 85.7%). However, since Marcos Rogerio de Lima lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Alexandr Romanov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:51 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 256 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Alexandr Romanov dominated Marcos Rogerio de Lima on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:51 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 57 | 259 |
| Activity ELO | 1 147 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +126 | -25 |
Alexandr Romanov demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 57 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Alexandr Romanov capitalized on this activity level, while Marcos Rogerio de Lima's 259-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -23 |
Alexandr Romanov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcos Rogerio de Lima is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexandr Romanov | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.