Alexandr Romanov vs Rodrigo Nascimento

November 2, 2024

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1174
(+30)
Alexandr Romanov
Winner: Alexandr Romanov
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alexandr Romanov+30
Rodrigo Nascimento-27
1046
(-27)
Rodrigo Nascimento

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandr Romanov: +35Rodrigo Nascimento: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandr RomanovRodrigo Nascimento
Total UFC Fights108
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 1461 113
ELO Change+35-35
💡

What Happened

Alexandr Romanov's 2-fight experience advantage (10 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alexandr Romanov for the expected result. Had Rodrigo Nascimento pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandr Romanov: +21Rodrigo Nascimento: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandr RomanovRodrigo Nascimento
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0741 026
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandr Romanov: +26Rodrigo Nascimento: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandr RomanovRodrigo Nascimento
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2671 075
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

Alexandr Romanov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandr Romanov: +17Rodrigo Nascimento: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandr RomanovRodrigo Nascimento
Significant Strikes Landed4531
Significant Strikes Attempted9291
Total Strikes Landed8748
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 184955
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

Alexandr Romanov controlled the striking exchanges with 87 vs 48 total strikes, 45 vs 31 significant strikes, 48.9% vs 34.1% accuracy. Alexandr Romanov capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandr Romanov: +66Rodrigo Nascimento: -66

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandr RomanovRodrigo Nascimento
Takedowns Landed60
Takedowns Attempted100
Ground Control Time7:330:00
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 3131 041
ELO Change+66-66
💡

What Happened

Alexandr Romanov dominated Rodrigo Nascimento on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 7:33 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandr Romanov: +27Rodrigo Nascimento: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandr RomanovRodrigo Nascimento
Days Since Last Fight155176
Activity ELO1 2231 084
ELO Change+27-15
💡

What Happened

Alexandr Romanov demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alexandr Romanov capitalized on this activity level, while Rodrigo Nascimento's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandr Romanov: +22Rodrigo Nascimento: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandr RomanovRodrigo Nascimento
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1091 047
ELO Change+22-20
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What Happened

Alexandr Romanov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rodrigo Nascimento is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandr Romanov: +21Rodrigo Nascimento: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandr RomanovRodrigo Nascimento
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0721 025
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.