July 17, 2020
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Askar Askarov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 116 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +55 |
Askar Askarov overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alexandre Pantoja.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Askar Askarov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 055 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Askar Askarov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 234 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Askar Askarov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Askar Askarov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 62 | 63 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 184 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Askar Askarov edged the striking exchanges with 41 vs 32 significant strikes, 65.1% vs 51.6% accuracy. Askar Askarov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Askar Askarov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 15 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:17 | 5:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 086 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Askar Askarov edged out Alexandre Pantoja on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 5:11 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Askar Askarov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 154 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +36 |
Askar Askarov demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Askar Askarov capitalized on this activity level, while Alexandre Pantoja's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Askar Askarov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 077 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +31 |
Askar Askarov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alexandre Pantoja is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Askar Askarov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 055 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

