July 7, 2023
UFC Flyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Brandon Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 243 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -40 |
Alexandre Pantoja overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (13 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brandon Moreno.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Brandon Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 200 | 1 230 |
| ELO Change | +88 | -29 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Alexandre Pantoja captured the UFC Flyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Brandon Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 384 | 1 437 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Alexandre Pantoja receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Brandon Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 129 | 147 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 274 | 245 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 161 | 167 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 320 | 1 345 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -78 |
Brandon Moreno controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (147 vs 129), superior accuracy (60.0% vs 47.1%). However, since Brandon Moreno lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Alexandre Pantoja's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Brandon Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:26 | 4:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 366 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | +99 | -99 |
Alexandre Pantoja landed 1 knockdown followed by 12 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Brandon Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 343 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 236 | 1 290 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Alexandre Pantoja demonstrated standard activity with 343 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Alexandre Pantoja capitalized on this activity level, while Brandon Moreno's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Brandon Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 176 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -24 |
Alexandre Pantoja extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brandon Moreno is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Brandon Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 134 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.