Alexandre Pantoja vs Brandon Royval

August 20, 2021

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1170
(+32)
Alexandre Pantoja
Winner: Alexandre Pantoja
Submission
Round 2 • 1:46

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alexandre Pantoja+32
Brandon Royval-29
1041
(-29)
Brandon Royval

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandre Pantoja: +28Brandon Royval: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandre PantojaBrandon Royval
Total UFC Fights114
Experience Gap7-7
Experience ELO1 1651 067
ELO Change+28-28
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What Happened

Alexandre Pantoja's 7-fight experience advantage (11 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alexandre Pantoja for the expected result. Had Brandon Royval pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandre Pantoja: +18Brandon Royval: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandre PantojaBrandon Royval
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0911 004
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandre Pantoja: +38Brandon Royval: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandre PantojaBrandon Royval
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:461:46
Win Type ELO1 2891 072
ELO Change+38-24
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What Happened

Alexandre Pantoja earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:46, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Brandon Royval was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandre Pantoja: +17Brandon Royval: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandre PantojaBrandon Royval
Significant Strikes Landed2217
Significant Strikes Attempted4061
Total Strikes Landed2327
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2181 077
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

Alexandre Pantoja slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 22 vs 17 significant strikes, 55.0% vs 27.9% accuracy. Alexandre Pantoja capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandre Pantoja: +97Brandon Royval: -97

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandre PantojaBrandon Royval
Takedowns Landed31
Takedowns Attempted61
Ground Control Time2:510:08
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2041 031
ELO Change+97-97
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What Happened

Alexandre Pantoja dominated Brandon Royval on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 2:51 of control time, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandre Pantoja: +19Brandon Royval: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandre PantojaBrandon Royval
Days Since Last Fight196273
Activity ELO1 1881 060
ELO Change+19-15
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What Happened

Alexandre Pantoja demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alexandre Pantoja capitalized on this activity level, while Brandon Royval's 273-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandre Pantoja: +21Brandon Royval: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandre PantojaBrandon Royval
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 1161 014
ELO Change+21-17
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What Happened

Alexandre Pantoja extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brandon Royval is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandre Pantoja: +18Brandon Royval: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandre PantojaBrandon Royval
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0911 004
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.