Alexandre Pantoja vs Manel Kape

February 5, 2021

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1138
(+18)
Alexandre Pantoja
Winner: Alexandre Pantoja
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alexandre Pantoja+18
Manel Kape-17
983
(-17)
Manel Kape

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandre Pantoja: +21Manel Kape: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandre PantojaManel Kape
Total UFC Fights101
Experience Gap9-9
Experience ELO1 137979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Alexandre Pantoja's 9-fight experience advantage (10 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alexandre Pantoja for the expected result. Had Manel Kape pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandre Pantoja: +18Manel Kape: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandre PantojaManel Kape
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 073982
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandre Pantoja: +17Manel Kape: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandre PantojaManel Kape
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 251983
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

Alexandre Pantoja earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandre Pantoja: +17Manel Kape: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandre PantojaManel Kape
Significant Strikes Landed7449
Significant Strikes Attempted14991
Total Strikes Landed7751
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 201983
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

Alexandre Pantoja controlled the striking exchanges with 77 vs 51 total strikes, 74 vs 49 significant strikes. Alexandre Pantoja capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandre Pantoja: +21Manel Kape: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandre PantojaManel Kape
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted17
Ground Control Time0:240:25
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 107979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Alexandre Pantoja did not secure a significant ground advantage against Manel Kape on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:24 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandre Pantoja: +15Manel Kape: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandre PantojaManel Kape
Days Since Last Fight204N/A
Activity ELO1 169988
ELO Change+15-12
💡

What Happened

Alexandre Pantoja demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alexandre Pantoja capitalized on this activity level, while Manel Kape's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandre Pantoja: +18Manel Kape: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandre PantojaManel Kape
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 095984
ELO Change+18-16
💡

What Happened

Alexandre Pantoja started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Manel Kape is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alexandre Pantoja: +18Manel Kape: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlexandre PantojaManel Kape
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 073982
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.