November 16, 2018
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 114 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -28 |
Alexandre Pantoja overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Yuta Sasaki.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:18 | 2:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 187 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -43 |
Alexandre Pantoja earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:18, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 122 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Yuta Sasaki lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Alexandre Pantoja's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:38 | 1:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 138 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Alexandre Pantoja edged out Yuta Sasaki on the ground with 0:38 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 183 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 130 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Alexandre Pantoja demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alexandre Pantoja capitalized on this activity level, while Yuta Sasaki's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 075 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Alexandre Pantoja extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yuta Sasaki is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexandre Pantoja | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.